Analogi terbaik tentang bagaimana analisa teknikal dapat memperbaiki keputusan investasi adalah melihat pada roda keberuntungan. Penulis menggunakan analogi ini secara berhati-hati, penjudi mempunyai sedikit control jika dibandingkan dengan investor(namun demikian, ada banyak investor yang bertindak seperti penjudi, maka judi mungkin adalah analogi yang cocok untuk mereka).
Tempat judi memperoleh keuntungan dari roda keberuntungan, tidak denagn mengatahui nomor apa yang akan keluar, tetapi dengan meningkatkan keberungtungan dengan penambahan “0” dan”00”
Kejadian itu sangat mirip dalam hal berikut ini, ketika seorang investor membeli saham, dia tidak mengetahui apakah harganya akan naik. Tetapi jika dia membeli saham ketika harganya dalam trend naik, setelah periode sell-off(penjualan), dan ketika suku bunga turun, dia akan meningkatkan kesempatannya untuk memperoleh keuntungan. Ini bukan judi, tetapi perhitungan yang bijaksana. Namun demikian, ada banyak investor yang membeli saham tanpa berusaha mengatahui situasi dan kondisinya.
Kabelikan dari sesuatu yang dipercaya banyak orang, Anda tidak perlu mengetahui berapa harga suatu saham di masa depan untuk memperoleh keuntungan . Tujuan Anda semestinya cukup meningkatkan kesempatan utuk melakukan perdangana secara menguntungkan. Bahkan jika Anda melakukan kecenderungan jangka panjang, menengah atau pendek. Anda akan meningkatkan kesempatan yang tidak Anda miliki tanpa analisa teknis.
Lihat grafik MERC dimana tren secara jelas menurun dan tidak ada tanda-tanda untuk berbalik. Meskinpun perusahaan mungkin mempunyai prospek future earnings yang baik dan data fundamental yang baik, adalah tidak logis membeli saham sampai ada tanda-tanda teknis bahwa tren berbalik.
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